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    購房成本創新高,美國購房人紛紛打起退堂鼓

    ALENA BOTROS
    2024-07-25

    雖然賣房人開始降價,但顯然力度不夠。

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    Redfin表示:“由于買房成本史上最高,購房人很難履行協議?!眻D片來源:GETTY IMAGES

    美國房地產成交量持續下降。據Redfin統計,上個月約有56,000份購房協議被取消,這相當于15%的已簽約住宅,“這是有史以來6月份比例最高的一次”。

    Redfin今天公布的一份分析報告稱:“由于買房成本史上最高,購房人很難履行協議?!痹搱蟾嫣岬?月份的中位數房屋售價,同比上漲了4%,達到442,525美元。報告中還提到了平均30年期固定抵押貸款利率(6.92%)。

    雖然賣房人開始降價,但顯然力度不夠。上個月,約五分之一待售房屋曾經降價,這是有紀錄以來在任何一年的6月份,降價住宅比例最高的一次。這比去年增長了超過14%,與兩年前的10月份創下的歷史紀錄相差無幾。Redfin表示:“一些賣房人之所以降價,是因為他們的房子在市場上長期無人問津,原因是持續的可負擔性危機影響了購房人?!?/p>

    6月份賣出的房子,在市場上等待交易的時間通常為32天,與去年同期相比延長了三天。待售房屋總量同比增長了近13%,這是史上最大年度漲幅。但房屋銷售卻并不景氣。根據Redfin統計的數據,6月份房屋銷量下滑:環比下滑0.5%,同比下滑1.1%;比疫情之前減少了21.5%。房地產市場的情況大致相同——庫存增多,但需求下降,導致房子待售時間更長,房屋銷售停滯。

    Redfin表示:“房屋銷售低迷的原因是,許多美國人買不起房,而且盡管6月份抵押貸款利率有所下降(本月進一步下降),但一些購房人選擇了繼續觀望,期待利率進一步下降?!?/p>

    據全美房地產經紀人協會(National Association of Realtors)統計,6月份現房銷量環比和同比均下降了5.4%。

    全美房地產經紀人協會首席經濟學家勞倫斯·伊恩在新聞稿中表示:“我們看到市場正在緩慢從賣方市場轉變為買方市場。房屋待售時間更長,賣房人收到的報價更少。更多購房人堅持要求進行房屋檢查和評估,而全美的高庫存正在增多?!?/p>

    Redfin的分析報告與全美房地產經紀人協會的調查結果遙相呼應。Redfin在報告中引用一位舊金山房地產經紀人的話稱:“購房人變得越來越挑剔……他們因為一些微不足道的問題打退堂鼓,因為目前與買房有關的月度成本過高,如果房子不符合他們必備清單上的所有條件,他們沒有理由購買?!?/p>

    據全美房地產經紀人協會統計,上個月,現房中位數售價上漲至426,900美元;這是該價格連續兩個月刷新歷史紀錄,并且連續12個月上漲。雖然這個價格略低于Redfin的預估,但依舊是很高的價格,特別是考慮到比疫情期間增長了一倍以上的抵押貸款利率。

    在有些地區,購房人打退堂鼓的比例似乎更高,首當其沖的是佛羅里達州的三個大都市區。在奧蘭多,約900份購房協議被取消,相當于6月份已簽約房屋的近21%。在杰克遜維爾和坦帕,同期取消購房協議的房屋占已簽約房屋的20.5%。

    但佛羅里達州的情況較為特殊。來自邁阿密的一位Redfin房屋中介表示:“我們看到協議在最后時刻因為最微不足道的原因被取消,這是噩夢般的情景?!?月份,邁阿密共有約2,500份購房協議被取消,超過已簽約房屋的17%。

    他還表示:“購房人經常在房屋檢查期間取消協議,因為他們會發現一些不喜歡的問題,但根本原因在于可負擔性問題。我不希望我的客戶會對在佛羅里達州擁有住房的所有成本感到意外,因此我會建議他們提前了解除了月供以外的保險、房產稅和[業主委員會]費用等?!?/p>

    此外,Redfin在6月初的另外一份分析報告發現,佛羅里達州西部的房地產市場降溫速度超過美國其他地區,原因包括:日益嚴重的自然災害、大量新建房屋和疫情時期的繁榮過后需求低迷等。(財富中文網)

    譯者:劉進龍

    審校:汪皓

    美國房地產成交量持續下降。據Redfin統計,上個月約有56,000份購房協議被取消,這相當于15%的已簽約住宅,“這是有史以來6月份比例最高的一次”。

    Redfin今天公布的一份分析報告稱:“由于買房成本史上最高,購房人很難履行協議?!痹搱蟾嫣岬?月份的中位數房屋售價,同比上漲了4%,達到442,525美元。報告中還提到了平均30年期固定抵押貸款利率(6.92%)。

    雖然賣房人開始降價,但顯然力度不夠。上個月,約五分之一待售房屋曾經降價,這是有紀錄以來在任何一年的6月份,降價住宅比例最高的一次。這比去年增長了超過14%,與兩年前的10月份創下的歷史紀錄相差無幾。Redfin表示:“一些賣房人之所以降價,是因為他們的房子在市場上長期無人問津,原因是持續的可負擔性危機影響了購房人?!?/p>

    6月份賣出的房子,在市場上等待交易的時間通常為32天,與去年同期相比延長了三天。待售房屋總量同比增長了近13%,這是史上最大年度漲幅。但房屋銷售卻并不景氣。根據Redfin統計的數據,6月份房屋銷量下滑:環比下滑0.5%,同比下滑1.1%;比疫情之前減少了21.5%。房地產市場的情況大致相同——庫存增多,但需求下降,導致房子待售時間更長,房屋銷售停滯。

    Redfin表示:“房屋銷售低迷的原因是,許多美國人買不起房,而且盡管6月份抵押貸款利率有所下降(本月進一步下降),但一些購房人選擇了繼續觀望,期待利率進一步下降?!?/p>

    據全美房地產經紀人協會(National Association of Realtors)統計,6月份現房銷量環比和同比均下降了5.4%。

    全美房地產經紀人協會首席經濟學家勞倫斯·伊恩在新聞稿中表示:“我們看到市場正在緩慢從賣方市場轉變為買方市場。房屋待售時間更長,賣房人收到的報價更少。更多購房人堅持要求進行房屋檢查和評估,而全美的高庫存正在增多?!?/p>

    Redfin的分析報告與全美房地產經紀人協會的調查結果遙相呼應。Redfin在報告中引用一位舊金山房地產經紀人的話稱:“購房人變得越來越挑剔……他們因為一些微不足道的問題打退堂鼓,因為目前與買房有關的月度成本過高,如果房子不符合他們必備清單上的所有條件,他們沒有理由購買?!?/p>

    據全美房地產經紀人協會統計,上個月,現房中位數售價上漲至426,900美元;這是該價格連續兩個月刷新歷史紀錄,并且連續12個月上漲。雖然這個價格略低于Redfin的預估,但依舊是很高的價格,特別是考慮到比疫情期間增長了一倍以上的抵押貸款利率。

    在有些地區,購房人打退堂鼓的比例似乎更高,首當其沖的是佛羅里達州的三個大都市區。在奧蘭多,約900份購房協議被取消,相當于6月份已簽約房屋的近21%。在杰克遜維爾和坦帕,同期取消購房協議的房屋占已簽約房屋的20.5%。

    但佛羅里達州的情況較為特殊。來自邁阿密的一位Redfin房屋中介表示:“我們看到協議在最后時刻因為最微不足道的原因被取消,這是噩夢般的情景?!?月份,邁阿密共有約2,500份購房協議被取消,超過已簽約房屋的17%。

    他還表示:“購房人經常在房屋檢查期間取消協議,因為他們會發現一些不喜歡的問題,但根本原因在于可負擔性問題。我不希望我的客戶會對在佛羅里達州擁有住房的所有成本感到意外,因此我會建議他們提前了解除了月供以外的保險、房產稅和[業主委員會]費用等?!?/p>

    此外,Redfin在6月初的另外一份分析報告發現,佛羅里達州西部的房地產市場降溫速度超過美國其他地區,原因包括:日益嚴重的自然災害、大量新建房屋和疫情時期的繁榮過后需求低迷等。(財富中文網)

    譯者:劉進龍

    審校:汪皓

    Deals are falling through in the housing world. Roughly 56,000 home purchase agreements were called off last month, which translates to almost 15% of homes under contract at the time, “the highest percentage of any June on record,” according to Redfin.

    “House hunters are having trouble committing because buying a home is more expensive than ever,” an analysis from Redfin published today read. It pointed to the median home sale price, which rose 4% from a year earlier to $442,525 in June, and the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate, which was 6.92%.

    Sellers even cut their prices, but it didn’t seem to be enough. About one in five homes for sale last month had a price reduction, the highest amount of any June on record. It was up more than 14% from a year ago and barely below a record set in October two years ago. “Some sellers are reducing their prices because their homes are sitting on the market and getting stale—the result of an ongoing affordability crisis impacting buyers,” Redfin said.

    Homes sold in June typically spent 32 days on the market, three days longer than last year. The total number of homes for sale was close to 13% higher than a year ago, which happens to be the biggest annual increase on record. And yet, home sales were depressed. By Redfin’s count, home sales fell in June: 0.5% from a month before and 1.1% from a year ago; they were 21.5% below pre-pandemic numbers. It seems to be more of the same—inventory is improving, but demand is down, so homes are staying on the market longer, and sales are static.

    “Sales are sluggish because many Americans can’t afford to buy homes, and because while mortgage rates ticked down in June (and have fallen further this month), some buyers are waiting on the sidelines in hopes that they’ll drop even more,” Redfin said.

    Existing home sales in June fell 5.4% on a monthly and annual basis, according to the National Association of Realtors.

    “We’re seeing a slow shift from a seller’s market to a buyer’s market,” NAR’s chief economist, Lawrence Yun, said in a release today. “Homes are sitting on the market a bit longer, and sellers are receiving fewer offers. More buyers are insisting on home inspections and appraisals, and inventory is definitively rising on a national basis.”

    Redfin’s analysis echoed that finding, citing a San Francisco–based real estate agent who said: “Buyers are getting more and more selective… They’re backing out due to minor issues because the monthly costs associated with buying a home today are just too high to rationalize not getting everything on their must-have list.”

    Last month, according to NAR, the median existing-home sales price escalated to $426,900; it was the second straight month the price reached an all-time high and the 12th consecutive month of yearly price gains. It’s slightly lower than Redfin’s estimate, but costly nonetheless, particularly when you couple it with mortgage rates that are still more than double their pandemic-era lows.

    And it seems there are places where buyers are backpedaling more than others, starting with three metropolitan areas in Florida. In Orlando, about 900 purchase agreements were canceled, close to 21% of homes under contract in June. In Jacksonville and Tampa, 20.5% of homes under contract the same month fell through.

    Florida’s situation is unique, however. “We’re seeing nightmare scenarios where deals are getting canceled at the last minute for the most minute reasons,” said a Redfin agent in Miami, where roughly 2,500 home purchases—more than 17% of homes under contract— were canceled in June.

    He continued: “Buyers often back out during the inspection period because they find something they don’t like, but affordability is really the underlying issue. I don’t want my buyers to be surprised by all of the expenses that come with owning a home in Florida, so I advise them to proactively research the hefty costs of insurance, property taxes, and [homeowners association] fees, in addition to the cost of their mortgage payment.”

    Separately, another Redfin analysis from early June found housing markets in western Florida were cooling faster than anywhere else in the country for a few reasons: the increasing severity of natural disasters, plenty of new construction, and fading demand after a pandemic-era boom.

    財富中文網所刊載內容之知識產權為財富媒體知識產權有限公司及/或相關權利人專屬所有或持有。未經許可,禁止進行轉載、摘編、復制及建立鏡像等任何使用。
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