????親愛的安妮：希望您和您的讀者們能幫我出個主意。我收到了一個在我看來很不錯的工作邀請，但我一直在猶豫要不要接受。情況是這樣的：我在2008年加入目前所在的這家公司，聘用我的上司是我之前一個崗位的導師。我們在一起配合默契，一切都很順利——直到2011年底她獲得晉升。接替她的人很有野心，這個人憑借關系、而不是能力上位。這個人自大傲慢，脾氣暴躁，令我非常不舒服。雖然我依然很喜歡在這家公司，但我一直在咬著忍耐現在的上司，只等就業市場好轉，我就可以徹底離開他了。

????所以，當其他公司給我提供一個非常有意思的機會時，我感到非常激動。只是有一點：據一位在那里工作的熟人介紹，向我發出邀請的這家公司剛剛進行過幾輪裁員，而且裁員尚未結束。我可不想離開現在的公司，最后卻落得失業的境地。您有什么看法？——“左右為難”

????親愛的“左右為難”：當前就業形勢很瘋狂，跳槽之前三思而后行是非常明智的做法。雖然情況看起來似乎有所好轉：目前每個職位空缺的競爭人數從2009年6月官方正式宣布經濟衰退結束時的6.2人減少到了今年4月的3.1人【美國勞工統計局（Bureau of Labor Statistics）提供的最新數據】。

????另外一個現象是招聘活動更加活躍：據睿仕管理咨詢公司（Right Management）最近進行的一項調查顯示，約有三分之二（64%）被雇傭的美國人表示，在過去12個月內，他們收到過不同公司“試探性的”或者確定的工作邀請。而且據勞工統計局報告，隨著機會的增多，人們并沒有放過這些機會，四月份的離職率比經濟衰退最嚴重的時期提高了39%，達到210萬人。

????但在另一方面，你的潛在雇主并不是唯一正在裁員的公司。再就業服務公司查林格、格雷及克里斯馬斯（Challenger, Gray & Christmas）對美國公司公布的裁員數量進行了跟蹤，7月3日報告稱，六月份的計劃裁員數量比5月份增加了8.2%。

????要想了解當前復雜的就業形勢，可以參考就業網站Glassdoor最近一個季度的《就業信心調查》（Employment Confidence Survey）：43%的全職員工認為，他們在未來六個月可以找到一份很棒的新工作，創下2009年以來的新高。但與此同時，超過五分之一（22%）的人 “擔心他們在未來六個月可能下崗”，達到2011年初開始統計該數據以來的最高水平。

????安妮?史蒂文斯表示，在這樣的背景下，任何考慮跳槽的人“都應該抱著比經濟繁榮時期更謹慎的態度，仔細考慮潛在的負面后果?！笔返傥乃故遣ㄊ款D高管培訓公司ClearRock的主理合伙人。她認為至少目前應該堅守當前的工作崗位，同時給出了四條理由：

1. 目前仍然是買方市場，競爭異常激烈。每個職位空缺有3.1個人競爭，相比2009年7月歷史最高的6.7個人并不算太可怕——但史蒂文斯發現，在危機爆發之前的2007年11月，每個空缺僅有1.6個人競爭，目前仍然是當時的兩倍?？杉热荒阋呀浭盏搅斯ぷ餮?，還有什么好擔心的呢？史蒂文斯表示，這是因為，大量合格的候選人會降低你的市場價值：“工資和總體薪酬可能遠遠沒有經濟好轉之后換工作那般誘人?！?/p>

????Dear Annie:I hope you and your readers can help me make a decision. I've been offered a job I think would be great, but I'm hesitating to take it. Here's the situation: When I joined my current employer in 2008, I was hired by a boss who had been my mentor in a previous position. We worked well together and everything was fine — until she got promoted in late 2011. Her replacement is someone very ambitious who got the job by politics, not ability, and is arrogant, short-tempered, and all-around awful. I still really like the work I'm doing here, but I've been gritting my teeth, just waiting for the job market to improve so I can get away from him.

????So I was thrilled to get offered an interesting opportunity elsewhere. Just one thing: The company I'd be moving to has gone through several rounds of layoffs recently and, according to acquaintances of mine who work there, the cuts are far from over. I'd hate to finally escape this place and then end up unemployed. Any thoughts? — Antsy

????Dear Antsy:You're wise to think twice, in this crazy job market. On the one hand, things seem to be looking up. The number of unemployed people per job opening has fallen from 6.2 at the official end of the recession in June 2009 to 3.1 in April of this year (the most recent figure available from the Bureau of Labor Statistics).

????Another sign that hiring is picking up: About two-thirds (64%) of employed Americans say they've gotten either a "feeler" or a firm job offer from a different company over the past 12 months, according to a recent survey by consultants Right Management — and, as more opportunities open up, the BLS reports, people are grabbing them, quitting their jobs at a rate that's 39% higher, at 2.1 million in April, than during the worst of the slump.

????On the other hand, however, your prospective employer isn't the only one still slashing headcount. Outplacement giant Challenger, Gray & Christmas, which tracks the number of layoffs announced by U.S. companies, reported July 3 that planned job cuts were 8.2% higher in June than in the month before.

????For a snapshot of the mixed jobs picture now, consider career site Glassdoor's most recent quarterly Employment Confidence Survey: 43% of full-time employees think they could find a great new job in the next six months, the highest percentage since 2009. Yet at the same time, more than one in five (22%) are "concerned they could be laid off in the next six months," the highest that figure has risen since early 2011.

????Against that backdrop, says Annie Stevens, anyone thinking of jumping ship "should examine the potential negative consequences more carefully than they would in a better economy." Stevens is managing partner of Boston-based executive coaching firm ClearRock. She offers four reasons to stay put for at least a little while longer:

1. It's still a buyer's market, and competition is fierce. The 3.1 job seekers chasing each available job is a lot less daunting than the record high of 6.7 in July 2009 — but, notes Stevens, it's still twice as high as the 1.6 unemployed people per opening in November 2007, the month before the recession started. Okay, but if you already have an offer, why should you care? Because, Stevens says, the abundance of qualified candidates has the effect of driving down your market value: "Salaries and overall compensation packages may not be as attractive as when changing jobs in a better economy."